Nvidia has once again exceeded Wall Street expectations in the latest quarter, increasing chip sales faster than the market had predicted, calming investors who feared that the euphoria surrounding artificial intelligence was beginning to deflate.
CEO Jensen Huang dismissed the nervousness surrounding a potential ‘AI bubble’ burst, after hundreds of billions of dollars in market value evaporated from the tech sector in recent weeks.
– There is a lot of talk about the AI bubble. From our perspective, we see something entirely different – Huang told analysts, as reported by the FT.
The world’s most valuable company reported that its revenues for the quarter ending in late October rose 62 percent to $57 billion, above the consensus estimate of analysts of $55 billion. For the current quarter, Nvidia forecasts $65 billion in revenue, which is about $3 billion higher than Wall Street expectations.
Shares rose about 5 percent, and the positive tone of the results immediately spilled over into broader markets, with Asian exchanges opening in the green, Japan’s Nikkei 225 rising 3.7 percent, and South Korea’s Kospi up 2.2 percent.
Nvidia’s results are viewed as a kind of ‘barometer’ for the health of the AI sector, as its advanced chips power the most sophisticated models, including OpenAI’s ChatGPT.
In the weeks leading up to the results announcement, tech stocks had suffered due to increasingly loud doubts about the sustainability of high valuations of major U.S. tech groups and their massive investments in chips and data centers. Nvidia’s stock fell 11 percent from its peak in early November, and additional nervousness was heightened by this year’s sale of a $5.8 billion stock package by SoftBank, as well as warnings from well-known ‘short seller’ Michael Burry about the AI bubble.
The Hard Core of the AI Ecosystem
This year, Nvidia has tied its fate to its largest clients through a series of multi-billion dollar contracts. The company’s market value reached about $4.5 trillion, and some of these contracts include up to $100 billion in planned investments in OpenAI.
Some analysts are increasingly concerned about the ‘closed loop’ of business between a narrow circle of chip manufacturers, AI developers, and cloud service providers, where the same companies simultaneously invest in each other and purchase products from one another.
Despite this, Nvidia’s strong results have lifted the rest of the tech sector, with shares of competitor AMD rising about 4 percent in after-hours trading, and gains recorded by Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Oracle, and Microsoft.
Daniel Newman, director of the research firm The Futurum Group, assessed that the results confirm that the momentum around AI is ‘still intact’.
– While it is hard to believe that demand is this stable and strong, at some point skeptics will have to start believing – he commented.
Capital and Energy Become Bottlenecks
In a regulatory filing, Nvidia warned for the first time that its clients’ ability to secure capital and energy for AI data centers could become a growth bottleneck. The company states that customers with less financial strength ‘may have difficulty securing financing for large infrastructure projects’, which could lead to delays and slower adoption of AI.
