Migrations are perhaps the most sensitive point of Croatia’s future today: while we want the return of those who have left due to population loss, at the same time we see protests against foreign workers on the streets. Statistics show the balance, but not who is actually returning, why young people are leaving, and how doctors, engineers, or scholarship holders from South America are lost in Croatian bureaucracy. In an interview with Lider, the director of the Institute for Migration Marina Perić Kaselj reveals which measures have truly helped returnees, where the system fails, why the integration of foreign workers is becoming a security issue, and, crucially, whether Croatia can finally turn its diaspora into a developmental force.
The State Bureau of Statistics regularly publishes data on migrations, but we know nothing about the age structure of emigrants and returnees. Do we have such data?
– We do not. More precisely, we know the migration balance, but we do not have accurate data on returnees and new emigrants. Therefore, we continuously map emigration and return and conduct qualitative analyses in the field. We still do not sufficiently recognize the diaspora as one of our strongest global strengths, and therefore we must strategically, not declaratively, focus on return. Since 2023, we have been conducting research on ‘Measures for the Immigration, Employment, and Integration of Returnees and Descendants of Croatian Emigrants’. We started with South America. The project was funded by the Central State Office for Croats Abroad and was conducted in collaboration with the University of North and the Croatian Chamber of Economy. We identified four key groups: students, workers, investors, and retirees. All these groups are equally important for the development of return policy.
What do the data from your mappings and fieldwork show?
– As a case study, we first took Biograd na Moru, and then we continued to map return in the Split-Dalmatia County, where we noticed many returnees. There, we conducted a series of interviews, primarily with members of the second generation, for example, those whose parents still live in Australia. It is estimated that there are about 250 families. They emphasize that the quality of life in Croatia is significantly better and mostly start their own businesses. Entrepreneurially oriented returnees find it easier to navigate despite administrative obstacles. When we talk about returnees, their investments are often highlighted, but their soft skills, i.e., knowledge, international experience, and language skills, are equally important. In addition, more and more wealthy retirees are coming to our islands. For example, in Zadar County, retirees from the USA are looking to create communities modeled after Florida. Several have already expressed interest in hiring a manager to lead such a community with organized commerce, health services, and other amenities.
What is the potential for the return of emigrants from South America and their descendants?
– The potential for the return of emigrants from South America and their descendants is extremely large and is primarily based on the strong emotional capital that connects those communities with Croatia. Some have already settled, but in official statistics, this often remains invisible because they are registered as foreigners. Interestingly, it is not only the children and grandchildren of our emigrants who are interested in returning, but increasingly also great-grandchildren. We are already recording concrete interest from Argentina, Peru, Chile, Bolivia, Venezuela, and Paraguay, and many come with entire families. One of the most successful ways to attract emigrants has proven to be scholarships for learning the Croatian language.
While there were initially only about a hundred scholarships, today there are around five hundred, and a large portion of the scholarship holders comes from South America. It is estimated that at least a third of them remain living in Croatia after completing the program. This clearly shows that such measures are effective and should be further developed. However, the problem arises in implementation. For example, scholarship holders are not allowed to work during their stay, which complicates language learning and integration. If they were allowed work experience, the chances of permanent stay would be significantly higher. In practice, there are also other challenges.
Two highly educated engineers from Bolivia, although they did not have Croatian roots, wanted to stay in Croatia, but this was not legally possible for them. Returnee doctors from South America have not been able to have their diplomas recognized in Croatia, while the same process was completed without problems in Germany. Thus, we lose the opportunity to attract people who bring not only knowledge and professional skills but also strong emotional capital. This combination could be a powerful engine for Croatia’s development, but only if we learn to recognize and remove the obstacles that currently stop them.
Who makes sense to specifically invite back today? What do your research findings show about current return trends?
– The pandemic has, unexpectedly, prompted the return of entire families. However, the integration of children has proven to be a serious challenge. For example, returnee children have the right to only eighty hours of Croatian language learning, while asylum seekers have two hundred. As a result, many children have not been able to adapt to the school system, which in some cases has resulted in entire families leaving for abroad again. It is considered most reasonable to target the return of those who emigrated ten or fifteen years ago. In the field, we see that people from Ireland and Germany are now returning spontaneously. We are also recording more and more families returning due to identity and a sense of security. The process is multi-layered. Some families that left ten or fifteen years ago decide to stay abroad, some young people from Ireland are returning to Croatia, and other and third generations from Western Europe, Australia, and South America are also coming.
What measures have proven effective in attracting returnees?
– Every measure to attract returnees must be systematically evaluated so that it can be improved or, if ineffective, abolished. For example, tax incentives have proven to be a double-edged sword: some returnees say that it creates a feeling of discrimination and that they actually do not need such a measure. On the other hand, incentives under the ‘I Choose Croatia’ measure amounting to 27,000 euros have proven to be good, but returnees emphasize that the implementation period is too short and that the measure should be extended. The scholarship for learning the Croatian language has also proven to be very successful. It would be beneficial to introduce the possibility for returnees to work in Croatia during and after completing the program. In general, every new measure should first go through a trial phase to test its effectiveness in practice, and only then be expanded at the national level.
