The President of the European Central Bank (ECB) Christine Lagarde addressed the European Parliament with an optimistic message about the decline in inflation, while simultaneously warning of the challenges arising from global trade tensions. She emphasized the need for cautious monetary policy management and reiterated the importance of developing the digital euro for Europe’s financial autonomy, as reported by Euronews.
– Most indicators suggest that inflation is gradually approaching our target in a sustainable manner – Lagarde stated in her address to the representatives. She reminded that inflation in the eurozone fell to 2.5 percent in January 2025, a significant drop from 5.5 percent recorded a year earlier. However, despite this progress, the ECB President highlighted that it does not seem premature to further reduce interest rates.
– We do not commit in advance to any specific direction of interest rate movements – she said.
The ECB has reduced interest rates by a total of 125 basis points since June 2024, bringing the deposit rate down to 2.75 percent. Lower interest rates are expected to ease access to credit and thus stimulate investment and consumption. However, Lagarde warned that trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions could undermine further stabilization of inflation.
Fragile Economic Recovery
The European economy recorded only modest growth of 0.9 percent in 2024, with the last quarter being particularly weak due to stagnation in industrial production and restrained consumption, despite improvements in real incomes.
– The industry remains under pressure, while the service sector is holding up somehow – Lagarde said, emphasizing that a stable labor market still provides some optimism. However, despite the increase in incomes, households remain cautious in their spending, and business investments are weak.
According to ECB projections, lower interest rates should gradually improve economic conditions, but global trade tensions remain a significant risk.
Lagarde also called for progress in capital market integration, highlighting that removing financial barriers could stimulate investment, promote technological advancement, and support economic growth.
– With the right framework, Europe can mobilize its vast resources to finance its own innovation and technological progress – she said.
