Work in Croatia is taxed above average compared to other categories such as short-term rentals, which are currently taxed at around one percent, making investment in real estate for short-term rental a new tax oasis. This was emphasized today at the German-Croatian Economic Forum Hrvoje Stojić, chief economist of the Croatian Employers’ Association.
– There is no room for euphoria, Croatia must work on increasing competitiveness and productivity. We need further tax relief on labor because there are 12 EU countries with lower labor taxes than Croatia. Croatia has an unfavorable tax wedge on salaries above 1500 euros net – said Stojić.
Salaries are rising, but productivity is not
The biggest problem currently facing Croatia is low productivity, which is two to three times lower than the EU average, especially in the manufacturing industry. Only tourism has productivity levels comparable to Germany, while the ICT sector, for example, nearly doubled its productivity compared to Germany from 2019 to 2022. Similarly, productivity is growing faster in the agriculture and food industry sectors. Therefore, there are sectors that have strong dynamics and increase Croatia’s added value, explained Stojić.
The growth of salaries, which is also double-digit in Croatia this year, does not contribute to productivity. Croatia is, in fact, a leader in real salary growth in the EU and the only economy that has recorded a real salary growth of 6 percent for two consecutive years, which is lower than other economies in Eastern EU.
– Either salary growth will have to stabilize, or we will have to significantly increase productivity – warned Stojić, explaining that otherwise Croatia could see higher inflation rates than the rest of the EU.
The decline in the working population and insufficient private sector investment are two more significant challenges currently facing the Croatian economy. The inclusion of women, youth, and older individuals in the labor system, strengthening private sector investments, and creating a more favorable environment for companies in the coming years, especially after 2025 when the wave of EU funds passes, will be crucial to continue and sustain the growth of the Croatian economy, which HUP economists estimate will amount to between 3 and 3.5 percent this year. For comparison, the euro area is expected to grow by only 0.7 percent.
How to achieve greater competitiveness?
Regarding competitiveness, a special discussion was held on this topic during the Forum. Based on his experience, Krešimir Hlede, director of the Croatian branch of the German company Porsche eBike Performance, does not believe that Croatia is at the bottom of Europe in terms of competitiveness. He cited the workforce as an example, as it is easier for them to find programmers in Croatia than in Germany, making Croatia more competitive, and the labor burden is similar in Germany.
– We have our competitiveness; we just need to know how to utilize it – said Hlede.
Croatia is not more competitive than Germany, added Ante Renić, director of VSB Croatia, but he noted that it is not fair to compare with the largest economies in Europe.
– We can compare ourselves with Ireland, which had similar problems as Croatia. They showed a similar path that Croatia could take – to be less bureaucratic and more business-friendly. The energy system in Croatia is dysfunctional because the components of the system do not act in unison or with the same goal, and we are overregulated. It is a capital-intensive industry, and it is not a problem to pay for something, but it is a significant problem that something that can take six months takes two years. The most progress has been made in terms of home solar energy, but that is not what drives the economy. The economy is driven by a large supply of energy in its own area that is not affected by macroeconomic movements, such as fossil fuels. Energy for households must be more expensive, while energy for companies must be cheaper for us to be more competitive, and this would ultimately help those households – explained Renić.
