Home / Business and Politics / In ten years, the employment rate has risen to 70.7 percent, but we are still at the bottom of the EU

In ten years, the employment rate has risen to 70.7 percent, but we are still at the bottom of the EU

It is often claimed in the public space that Croatia is at the top of the EU rankings in terms of the share of fixed-term employment contracts, with an alleged share of such contracts at the level of 20-25 percent, using the methodology of the Croatian Institute of Pension Insurance (HZMO).

However, internationally comparable data from Eurostat shows that in 2023, the share of fixed-term employment contracts was 9.6 percent in the age group of 15 to 64 years, which is below the EU average of 11.5 percent. Nevertheless, both relevant sources (Eurostat, HZMO) indicate a significant downward trend in such contracts from 2016 to the present, as reported by the Croatian Employers’ Association (HUP) in its weekly analyses. The specificities of the domestic market should also be taken into account in discussions about fixed-term contracts, they add.

Due to the seasonality of the Croatian economy, the high share of tourism (19% of GDP) and trade (24% of GDP), and the need for temporary work, the number of fixed-term contracts increases by 18 percent during the season. Thus, despite the pronounced seasonality of the economy, the number of fixed-term contracts is lower compared to the EU average.

Some companies, typically micro or smaller employers faced with numerous administrative burdens, are delayed in entering changes in the forms for reporting employment relationships when transitioning from fixed-term to indefinite contracts, as indicated by HZMO. Additionally, the increased influx of foreign workers with residence and work permits for one year increases the practice of entering into fixed-term contracts.

HUP questions whether the statistics on fixed-term employment are truly a benchmark for the success of an economy or the quality of a labor market. Namely, the least developed EU members, Bulgaria and Romania, are among the five countries with the lowest share of such contracts, while many more developed economies such as the Netherlands (22.9%), Spain (14.6%), France (13.6%), Finland (13.5%), Italy (12.9%), Sweden (12.7%), and even developmentally similar Poland (12.2%) have a higher share of fixed-term contracts than Croatia.

According to our findings, this indicates a greater supply of more flexible forms of employment and a growing number of those who find holding several part-time jobs more lucrative. It would be paradoxical to conclude that Bulgaria and Romania have better protection of workers’ rights, they state in their analyses.

Considering that Croatia has already achieved the second largest relative decline in the share of fixed-term contracts after Poland, with a drop of 10 percentage points from 2016 to 2023, and a significantly better score in relation to the goals from the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (NPOO), is it not time to consider a life adjustment of the current provisions of the fixed-term employment contract institute in the Labor Law, which includes limiting fixed-term contracts to a maximum of three consecutive contracts, HUP asks.

The goal of the Labor Law must be a higher employment rate

Legal restrictions should focus on isolated and rare cases where consecutive fixed-term contracts are excessively and unjustifiably used, rather than limiting all employers and workers who occasionally enter into fixed-term contracts due to the nature of the work (e.g., project occupations, professional services, tourism). We believe that the inclusion of ‘objective reasons’ in all fixed-term employment contracts is an excessive limitation and that at least the first fixed-term contracts should be exempt from such obligations. Moreover, the legislator does not specify who is authorized to interpret ‘objective reasons’ except for courts in case of disputes, which poses an unacceptable legal risk, HUP writes in its weekly analyses.

HUP has also proposed that exceptions to the duration of fixed-term employment contracts be extended to all projects, including those financed from private sources, not just those co-financed from EU funds. Private business investments strengthen the competitiveness of companies, and according to the share of business investments, Croatia has deviated in recent years both in relation to the EU-27 average and in relation to the average of structurally similar economies in the CEE region. Ignoring this proposal is in conflict with the state-proclaimed encouragement of private investments with incentives for such projects defined by the Investment Promotion Act, and it leads to discrimination against investment projects based on the source of financing.

– Given the objective risk of slowing productivity growth following the withdrawal of EU funds (2.9 billion euros or 53 percent withdrawn from the total grant envelope of 5.5 billion euros) from 2025 onwards, especially from 2027, and the expected faster growth of unit labor costs compared to the EU in the coming years, the focus of economic policy makers must be on enhancing the attractiveness of our economy for private investments, say the Croatian Employers’ Association.

In their statement, they add that they advocate for a modern Labor Law aimed at protecting workers (i.e., strengthening employment opportunities and chances) rather than job security, promoting flexible forms of employment, simpler regulations, and the abolition of protective clauses. The ultimate goal must be to increase the employment rate. Indeed, despite a decade of growth during which the employment rate rose to 70.7% in 2023, we have been surpassed by Spain, and only Romania, Greece, and Italy have a lower employment rate in the EU than Croatia.

Considering the increase in the employment rate of 13.5 percentage points from 2013 to 2023, an increase of 4 percentage points to the EU average is likely not uncertain, but the next increase in the employment rate of 12 percentage points to the level of the TOP 5 EU members (an average of 82.3% in 2023) will require the implementation of best practices for labor market flexibility along with aligning educational curricula with labor market needs (especially in new ‘industries’) and targeted immigration, they conclude.

Tagged: