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Fed Paused Interest Rate Hikes, Powell Announced Continuation of Strict Policy into 2024.

The American Fed this week kept interest rates stable and, as expected, did not raise them further although they indicated that there would be additional increases by the end of the year, suggesting that monetary policy will remain significantly stricter than previously anticipated until 2024.

It is expected that by the end of this year, the reference interest rates of the American central bank will peak in the range of 5.50 to 5.75 percentage points, or a quarter of a percentage point above the current range.

Although financial markets largely expected the Fed to keep rates unchanged, investors are counting on significant rate cuts over the next year, but all indications from the American central bank show that there will only be a slight reduction in 2024, meaning that reference interest rates will remain above 5.00 percent until the end of 2024, while estimates suggest they will decrease to 3.9 percent by 2025.

According to new projections, U.S. economic growth is expected to be 2.1 percent in 2023, despite earlier expectations that growth would only be 0.4 percent. Additionally, as reported by Reuters, the unemployment rate is expected to remain stable at around 3.8 percent this year.

Current interest rates are at their highest level in the last 22 years, according to the Financial Times, and the Fed has been conducting one of the most aggressive campaigns to curb inflation since March of last year, which has proven to be more persistent than expected.

These projections weighed on the market, causing the S&P 500 to drop immediately after the announcement. However, as reported by CNBC, stocks fluctuated while Fed Chairman Jerome Powell spoke to the media.

– We are in a position where we must carefully continue to determine the scope of additional policy tightening – Powell stated, but added that the central bank would like to see greater progress in the fight against inflation.

– We want to see really convincing evidence that we have reached an appropriate level; we see slight progress and welcome it, but it needs to be greater for us to know that we have reached the peak – Powell concluded.

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