Home / Business and Politics / Global Markets: Dow Jones Breaks 13-Day Rise, BOJ Disturbs European Exchanges

Global Markets: Dow Jones Breaks 13-Day Rise, BOJ Disturbs European Exchanges

On European exchanges, stock prices weakened on Friday morning from their highest levels in the last year and a half, as investors analyze incoming financial reports and monitor developments in global bond markets, where yields are rising after the Japanese central bank altered its previous ultra-loose monetary policy.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was down 0.3 percent around 10 a.m. It fell from its highest level in the last 1.5 years reached on Thursday, after the European Central Bank (ECB) raised its key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, but also signaled that it might pause further increases in September.

At the same time, the Frankfurt DAX fell 0.1 percent to 16,389 points, and the Paris CAC dropped 0.35 percent to 7,439 points, while the London FTSE index was up 0.17 percent to 7,705 points.

Investors were unsettled on Friday by the surprising policy change from the Bank of Japan, which has relaxed its previous yield curve control policy on government bonds and eased control over long-term interest rates. Although the Japanese central bank kept its key interest rate at -0.1 percent, the relaxation of yield curve control effectively represents a step towards tightening monetary policy.

As a result, yields on Japanese government bonds jumped to 0.55 percent, and on U.S. bonds exceeded four percent. Yields on bonds in Europe are also rising, which automatically increases the attractiveness of investing in bonds compared to stocks, leading to some capital withdrawal from the stock market.

At the same time, investors are also monitoring new financial reports from companies, with shares of the French IT company Capgemini dropping 7.5 percent after announcing it would invest 2 billion euros over the next three years in artificial intelligence.

The share price of the French pharmaceutical company Sanofi also fell by 2.5 percent, despite the company exceeding earnings expectations. On the other hand, shares of Hermes rose by 3.8 percent due to better-than-expected business results.

On the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the Nikkei index weakened by 0.4 percent to 32,759 points.

Dow Jones Falls 0.67 Percent

On Wall Street, the major indices fell on Thursday following news that the Japanese central bank would allow long-term interest rates to rise, with the Dow Jones breaking its 13-day rise, marking its longest growth period since 1987.

The Dow Jones fell by 237.4 points or 0.67 percent to 35,282 points, the S&P 500 weakened by 0.64 percent to 4,537 points, and the Nasdaq index dropped 0.55 percent to 14,050 points.

The Japanese daily Nikkei reported that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy on Friday, i.e., the yield cap on government bonds at 0.5 percent, but is considering allowing long-term interest rates to rise above that level. Reuters also confirmed that the Japanese central bank might make some minor adjustments to extend its yield curve control policy.

According to investment strategist Michael Green at Simplify Asset Management, these media reports on Thursday were the main drivers of movement on Wall Street. The prospects for higher interest rates in Japan raised yields on U.S. government bonds above 4 percent, which in turn reduced the attractiveness of stocks as an investment.

– The Nikkei report really came out of the blue. I think market participants will carefully consider the reasons behind it. It is likely related to improving the functioning of the bond market as was the case during the previous move by the Japanese central bank in December – stated Carol Kong from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

In December, the BOJ surprised markets by widening the range in which yields could move, allowing the yield on 10-year government bonds to rise to 0.5 percent.

The BOJ’s move announced by Nikkei would be the ‘dot on the i’ in a week when both the Fed and ECB raised interest rates, with the Fed doing so for the 11th consecutive time and the ECB for the 9th time, which is also considered unfavorable for investments in the stock market, as it increases the cost of borrowing for companies, slows consumption, and increases the attractiveness of other asset classes compared to stocks.

On European exchanges, stock prices rose on Thursday after the ECB raised its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 3.75 percent, but bank president Christine Lagarde signaled that the bank might pause further rate hikes in September. The London FTSE index rose 0.21 percent to 7,692 points, the Frankfurt DAX increased by 1.7 percent to 16,406 points, and the Paris CAC rose by 2.05 percent to 7,465 points.

‘Ultra-Loose Monetary Policy’

Stock prices on Asian exchanges fell on Friday from their highest levels in the last five weeks, while the yen surged against the dollar amid speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might take another step towards tightening its long-standing ultra-loose monetary policy.

The MSCI Asia-Pacific index was down 0.4 percent around 6:00 a.m. The Japanese Nikkei plummeted 1.06 percent, and the Australian ASX weakened by nearly one percent. At the same time, Chinese exchanges were up about one percent.

On Friday, the Japanese central bank is meeting, and all eyes are on the monetary lawmakers there, after the Nikkei reported that the Bank of Japan would maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy, i.e., the yield cap on government bonds at 0.5 percent, but is considering allowing long-term interest rates to rise above that level.

Yields on Japanese government bonds immediately jumped to 0.505 percent, reducing the attractiveness of investing in stocks.

– If the BOJ adjusts its yield curve control program for government bonds, financial markets will likely view this as the beginning of tightening monetary policy regardless of the reasons behind such a move by the BOJ – emphasizes Kristina Clifton from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

Speculation about a change in the decades-long rhetoric of ultra-loose monetary policy at the BOJ has even more strongly impacted currency markets, where the attractiveness of the Japanese currency has strengthened.

Specifically, the yen surged against the dollar to 138.57 dollars, which is 1.32 percent higher than the previous day. The exchange rate of the Japanese currency has thus strengthened against the U.S. dollar by nearly 2 percent since the beginning of the week.

On the other hand, the euro weakened by 1.07 percent against the dollar to 1.0963 dollars, despite the fact that the European Central Bank (ECB) raised the key interest rate in the eurozone for the 9th consecutive time by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75 percent on Thursday.

Indeed, bank president Christine Lagarde signaled at a news conference after the meeting that the ECB might take a break in further tightening monetary policy in September.

In such conditions, the dollar index, which measures the performance of the dollar against six major world currencies, rose by 0.93 percent to 101.74 points.

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