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Sentiment in the Croatian Economy Slightly Deteriorated in May

Sentiment in the Croatian economy slightly deteriorated in May as a wave of pessimism in retail and the service sector outweighed better results in industry and among consumers, according to a survey by the European Commission.

The Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) in Croatia fell by 0.4 points in May compared to April, to 108.4 points, the EC report shows.

The most significant deterioration was observed in the retail and service sectors, reflecting a considerably worse assessment of business in the previous three months, particularly in the services sector, indicated by a drop in the index of as much as 10.2 points compared to the record value in April.

Indices that encompass both business assessments and demand expectations for the next three months fell in retail and the service sector by 5.8 and 3.2 points, respectively, the survey revealed.

In the construction sector, sentiment remained unchanged compared to April.

A survey among consumers, however, showed improvement, reflected in an increase in the index by 2.7 points, and enhanced optimism was also expressed by industry sector leaders, according to an increase in the index by 1.3 points.

Business leaders’ estimates regarding employment remained at the April level, with the index stagnating at 112.8 points.

The survey also indicated a noticeable easing of uncertainty expectations in business, as evidenced by the decline of the EUI index to minus 2.9 points, from minus 1.2 points in the previous month.

Deterioration in the Eurozone and EU

In the Eurozone and EU, the economic climate significantly worsened in May, reflected in a decline of the index compared to April by 2.5 and 1.9 points, respectively.

Sentiment deteriorated in retail, industry, services, and the construction sector.

Consumer expectations in the Eurozone were stable, while in the EU they slightly improved, indicated by an increase in the index by 0.6 points.

Business leaders signaled that they plan to significantly ease the pace of hiring in the coming months, as evidenced by the decline of the EEI index in May by 2.8 points in the Eurozone and by 2.2 points in the EU.

Business uncertainty slightly eased, according to the decline of the EUI index by 0.4 points in the Eurozone and by 0.5 points in the EU.

Optimism in France

Among the leading economies of the Eurozone, sentiment improved only in France, where the ESI rose by 1.5 points.

Spain and Germany, on the other hand, recorded a noticeable deterioration, reflected in a decline of the index by three and 2.9 points, respectively.

Italy is close behind, with its index decreasing by 2.3 points.

In Poland, the largest EU economy not in the Eurozone, the ESI fell by 1.9 points.

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