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Global Stock Markets Rise, Dollar Weakens After Three Weeks of Growth

Although central banks in Western countries are raising interest rates, global stock markets saw indices rise last week, primarily due to a correction in stock prices after three weeks of sharp declines.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones rose 2.7 percent last week to 32,151 points, while the S&P 500 jumped 3.6 percent to 4,067 points, and the Nasdaq index increased by 4.1 percent to 12,112 points. 

Strong Inflation Control

Indices rose sharply, even though leaders of the U.S. central bank are not easing their strong rhetoric on controlling inflation. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated last week that the Fed is ‘strongly committed’ to controlling inflation and will continue to tighten monetary policy until that goal is achieved. Charles Ewans, president of the Fed branch in Chicago, supported Powell, stating that controlling inflation is a priority. 

It is therefore clear that the Fed will continue to aggressively raise interest rates to curb inflation, which is hovering around its highest levels in over 40 years. The Fed has been raising rates since March and will further increase them at the two-day meeting on September 20 and 21.

A new, third consecutive increase of 0.75 percentage points is expected, bringing rates to a range of 3 to 3.25 percent. It is also estimated that by the end of the year, rates could reach 3.7 percent, and by March next year, 4 percent.

Despite this, stock prices on the largest stock exchange in the world have risen sharply, which analysts say is a result of price corrections following their sharp decline in the previous three weeks.

– It is not surprising that such a rebound occurred as much of it is technical in nature. I would not be surprised if the market strengthens further at the beginning of next week, and then gradually eases until the consumer price report is released – says Jack Janasiewicz, a strategist at Natixis Investment Managers Solutions.

That report, which will be released on Tuesday, will be in focus for investors as it will show how much inflationary pressures eased in August, given that fuel prices fell that month. Analysts in a Reuters poll estimate that inflation in August slipped to 8.1 percent, down from 8.5 percent a month earlier.

The ECB Also Raises Rates 

European stock prices also rose last week, but trading was much more cautious than on Wall Street as the European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates by an aggressive 0.75 percentage points.

As inflation in the eurozone is at record levels, above 9 percent, the ECB has announced further rate increases, although this bloc faces a recession due to the energy crisis. The London FTSE index strengthened by 0.95 percent last week to 7,351 points, while the Frankfurt DAX rose by 0.3 percent to 13,088 points, and the Paris CAC increased by 0.7 percent to 6,212 points.

On the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the Nikkei index jumped 2 percent to 28,214 points.

Dollar Decline

Additionally, following the ECB’s interest rate hike, the dollar weakened against a basket of currencies in global markets after three weeks of growth, with the euro exchange rate returning above the one-dollar level.

The dollar index, which shows the movement of the U.S. dollar against the other six major world currencies, fell by 0.5 percent last week to 108.96 points. Meanwhile, the dollar weakened by 0.8 percent against the European currency, bringing the euro price to 1.0045 dollars.

However, the dollar exchange rate rose against the Japanese currency by 1.7 percent to 142.50 yen, close to its highest level in 24 years.