Home / Business and Politics / Innovation on Sale: The Rise and Fall of Ark ETFs

Innovation on Sale: The Rise and Fall of Ark ETFs

Fund manager Cathie Wood, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of ARK Invest, was at the peak of her fame on Wall Street last year.

Her actively managed exchange-traded fund ARK Innovation (ARKK) achieved a return of 150 percent in 2020. Not only was such a high return achieved in a year marked by a pandemic, but it was also significantly above the performance of the rest of the market, which grew by 16 percent as measured by the S&P 500 index.

Cathie Wood’s vision that disruptive innovations are key to growth in a rapidly changing world directed ARK Invest’s investments into stocks of companies that would change the world with their products and services.

Among them, the early recognition of Tesla’s potential (TSLA) stands out, as shares of the leading electric vehicle manufacturer held the largest position in the main ARK Innovation ETF for almost four and a half years.

Warren Buffett’s Status

Other stocks in ARK’s investment focus were also companies with innovative solutions, meaning that investors valued them based on their growth characteristics rather than traditional valuation parameters such as profitability and other fundamentals. This proved to be a winning combination in the extremely turbulent year of 2020.

With the emergence of the COVID-19 virus, new conditions for working and entertaining from home were created, and the stocks of companies that suddenly became indispensable in consumers’ daily lives, in which ARK primarily held stakes, soared, along with the ARKK ETF.

The above-average returns of the funds, as well as the vision that Cathie Wood successfully presented to the public, attracted millions of followers on social media and billions of dollars into the funds under her management. The new influx of money, favorable conditions for technology stocks due to historically low interest rates, and the focus of investors on what Ark Invest is investing in, given the daily display of portfolio status as in the case of any other ETF, provided additional impetus from buyers for positions in her portfolio.

All of this secured Cathie Wood’s status on Wall Street to the extent that she was referred to as the new Warren Buffett, the legendary investor who, considering his over 90 years of life, increasingly seemed to investors like an old story in a new, technology-dominated time.

However, at the end of 2021, a painful sobering began. Despite the still ongoing pandemic, with the emergence of new vaccines, market participants began to realize that life must eventually return to pre-pandemic conditions. As a result, earlier winners of the COVID lockdown era soon found themselves targeted by sellers, while ‘old economy’ companies, such as oil companies, regained favor with investors.

Furthermore, the pandemic, which caused over six million deaths, also resulted in a whole range of supply chain issues. When inflationary pressures caused by production problems are added to the impacts of trillions of dollars in stimulus injected into the global economy, both fiscally and monetarily, a favorable environment for the inflation we are witnessing today has developed.

The Hardest Year Yet

The American central bank, the Fed, which once called for inflation and denied it on the grounds that it was only temporary, made a sharp turn this year and initiated a process of tightening monetary conditions aimed at combating inflation.

This meant the beginning of raising key interest rates and reducing the Fed’s balance sheet through quantitative tightening. Conditions that are detrimental to high valuations of growth stocks, leading to positions in Ark ETFs being further targeted by sellers.

To make matters worse, among the sellers of innovative stocks were not only those who had previously owned shares, but also those intending to profit from Cathie Wood’s change of fortune by shorting shares from her fund. The most extreme example of this was the emergence of the short ETF SARK, which aims to inversely track the performance of the ARKK ETF, thereby allowing profit from the decline in Ark’s fund stock prices.

With these problems ahead, Ark Invest is experiencing the hardest year in its existence. Specifically, the ARKK fund has plunged 54 percent since the beginning of the year, and we are only in June. The performance over the last year is even more negative, as ARKK has lost over 60 percent compared to the S&P 500 index, which has only recently crossed into negative territory on an annual basis (as shown in the chart below).

image

FIMA Securities

photo

Certain positions in the fund, such as the currently most represented Zoom (ZM), have plunged over 60 percent compared to the acquisition price. And for a long time, the most important position, Tesla, with a value drop of 32 percent in 2022, lost its leading position in the ETF and now occupies second place. An overview of the most important positions in the ARKK portfolio with changes compared to the acquisition value is presented below.

image

FIMA Securities

photo

Despite everything, this fund manager still enjoys high investor confidence. This is best confirmed by the amount of assets under management at Ark Invest, which is currently estimated at around 20 billion dollars. Additionally, the sharp correction in stock prices has brought the value of Ark’s ETFs to extreme levels of oversold when observing price movements on weekly charts. Because of this, the fund attracts demand from investors who assess a potential bottom and hope that the story of 66-year-old Cathie Wood is not yet over.

DISCLAIMER:

The content of this article does not constitute investment advice nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or group of instruments mentioned herein. All information presented in this article is provided solely for informational purposes. Before trading any financial instrument, it is important to consider the risks associated with investing in them. Trading stocks, ETFs, and other financial instruments involves high risk, and there is a possibility of losing part or all of the invested amount. Past returns of financial instruments are not a guarantee of future returns.