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Electric Shock: Get Used to Expensive Electricity, It Will Last

Električna energija
Električna energija / Image by: foto Shutterstock

Large producers whose contracts with electricity suppliers are expiring these days must be prepared for a severe price shock. The price of electricity is not rising for the first time, so everyone, large, medium, and small entrepreneurs, as well as citizens, immediately gulp because they know that this will sooner or later reflect on them. And it will. Strongly. It is not the time to play the eternal optimist because this time the rise in electricity prices is not just a passing phase that is already cyclically alternating in eternal economic cycles of decline and growth. The transition to a low-carbon economy is writing different rules for the future in which the most commonly used energy sources are extremely expensive. Therefore, the rise in electricity prices will accompany us for at least a few more years.

– The rise in electricity prices on wholesale markets is periodically repeated; we last witnessed it two years ago. However, given the decarbonization policy of the European Union and the rising prices of carbon dioxide, it is estimated that this time the rise in electricity prices will last until 2024 or 2025 – warns Marija Šćulac Domac, director of the industry and sustainable development sector at the Croatian Chamber of Commerce.

A major shock in seeking offers for a new contract with electricity suppliers was recently experienced by the textile company Galeb. The most favorable offer implied an unpleasant increase in the electricity contract of 67%.

– We have no choice. With this increase, just like with the minimum wage that rises by five to six percent every year, we have to fight. The direct cost of rising electricity for Galeb means an additional €50,000 expense annually. That is a significant amount that will need to be covered in other cost items – explains Josip Aračić, CEO of Galeb, adding that many companies operating on the edge of profitability, faced with such a shock, will be forced to close.

Unpleasant surprises like this will be felt by all who have not previously signed contracts. Namely, from HEP Supply, which has several dozen contracts with large customers expiring by the end of this year, they emphasize that most contracts have already been signed earlier.

– It is necessary to distinguish between the moment of contracting and the period of the contract, i.e., delivery. For example, a customer could contract for 2020 and/or 2021 in 2018. It is an increasingly common trend in the market for customers to choose favorable moments for contracting in the market and at those moments contract the delivery of electricity for one to three years in advance. The current high prices of contracting in the market will reflect on contracts and on the price of electricity that will be consumed in 2022-2023 and even 2024 – they explain from HEP.

They note that one of the key indicators of the state of contracting and prices in the electricity market is its price on the wholesale market. On the Hungarian exchange HUDEX, the delivery price for YR 21-22 rose from about €50 per megawatt-hour in 2020 to nearly €86 per megawatt-hour in August 2021, which is a 70% increase.

Part of the answer to how to resist the risks that such a price increase has on business is also changing the model of electricity purchasing, as well as turning to own energy production.

More about electricity procurement models and ways to solve the problem of price shocks can be read in the new issue of the printed and digital Lider.

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