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Oil Prices Rise Towards $76

Oil prices rose on Monday in international markets towards $76, driven by the deepening economic crisis in Venezuela and the expectation of a U.S. decision to reinstate sanctions on Iran.

In the London market, the price of a barrel increased by 80 cents compared to the previous close, reaching $75.67. In the U.S. market, barrels were traded at a price 84 cents higher, at $70.56.

>>>Oil Prices at Highest Levels Since November 2014.

The crisis in Venezuela, a major oil exporter, has overshadowed the increase in U.S. production, which has risen by more than a quarter in the past two years to 10.62 million barrels per day, analysts explain.

“The counterbalance to the increase in production in the United States is the simultaneous decrease in production in Venezuela,” states Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch.

The American oil company ConocoPhillips has decided to take over key assets of the Venezuelan oil company PDVSA in the Caribbean in order to obtain compensation of two billion dollars in arbitration proceedings. This move could further pressure the already reduced production and export of the Venezuelan company.

Due to insufficient investments, Venezuelan production has halved since the early 2000s to 1.5 million barrels per day.

>>>Oil Prices Slightly Fall Due to Strengthening Dollar

Support for prices is also provided by the expected decision of U.S. President Donald Trump to reinstate sanctions on Iran. Trump is expected to withdraw from the international agreement on Iran’s nuclear program.

“It seems that the bureaucratic machinery has been set in motion in Washington to prepare for the reinstatement of sanctions,” notes RBC Capital Markets analyst Helima Croft, adding that “the extraterritorial nature of U.S. sanctions, which cover energy, shipbuilding, finance, trade, insurance, etc., implies that… Iranian oil exports could likely be reduced by 200 to 300 thousand barrels per day.”

Trump has until May 12 to make a decision on sanctions.

Separately, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) announced this morning that the price of a barrel of its reference basket of oil was $70.99 on Friday, which means it was 33 cents higher than the previous trading day.