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Algorithm Discovered That Enables Prediction of Outcomes for Apparently Identical Types of Cancer

An exceptional scientific study has revealed why some cancers are deadlier than others despite appearing identical, reports the BBC, and this discovery will pave the way for more precise therapy determination for each individual patient.

Scientists at the Francis Crick Institute have developed a method for analyzing the development of each individual tumor to predict its future behavior. Research on kidney cancer has shown that in some patients, tumors are more malignant while others never become aggressive and may not require treatment but only monitoring.

“We really do not have the tools to differentiate between cancers that need to be treated and those that need to be monitored,” says scientist Samra Turajlic.

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One cancer can quickly kill a patient while another patient, with what appears to be the same type of cancer, can live for decades after treatment, which represents uncertainty for both the patient and the oncologist.

The study published in the journal Cell analyzed kidney cancer in one hundred patients, and the scientific team conducted genetic research to analyze the history of each cancer, similar to establishing paternity but much more complex. As cancers grow and develop, they mutate increasingly, and different parts of these tumors begin to mutate in different ways. Scientists took numerous samples from various parts of the cancer and then studied how similar those parts were. This allowed them to compile a sort of evolutionary history of each tumor.

“This can also show us which path the tumor will take in its development,” says Turajlic.

Based on the study’s results, scientists categorized kidney cancers into three categories: highly malignant from the start, transitional, and relatively benign.

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In the most malignant forms, widespread and rapid mutations were recorded, and the cancers grew so quickly that they likely spread throughout the body before being detected. In these cases, surgery to remove the primary tumor may delay medications that could slow disease progression, scientists note.

The ‘most benign’ forms of cancer behaved oppositely, and there was a high likelihood of their growth being so slow that they would never pose a problem for the patient and only need to be monitored, scientists say.

Transitional forms appeared to initially spread to just one more location in the body, and in such cases, surgical treatment would be acceptable.

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Dr. Turajlic states that the scientific team has no doubts that the study’s results are applicable to other types of cancer.

The research also showed that the earliest mutations in cancer occurred up to 50 years before the detection of kidney cancer.

Director of Cancer Research UK Harpal Kumar states that the research is groundbreaking because for years, doctors have faced a situation where seemingly identical diagnoses in patients have completely different outcomes.

“This is extremely significant because we hope to be able to predict which path cancer will take in each individual patient, and this will lead us to treatments tailored to individual needs.”