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Müller: New Ministers in the Government Must Show Initiative

On the occasion of the first 100 days of the Government, we sent questions about the way and model of work in the Banski Dvori to the head of Raiffeisen Bank, Michael Goerg Müller. Here is what he replied.

– How do you evaluate the first 100 days of the Government? Positive, negative? Why?

In Croatia, the problem of the transfer of power has historically been emphasized. After the former opposition takes power, a period begins in which the personnel structure in ministries, state agencies, and public enterprises changes, but the processes, organization, and efficiency of these institutions are not improved. When power changes, most of the people who come to replace experienced public sector organizers have a lower level of operational knowledge and skills. They need a period to acclimatize to the new environment, take over responsibilities, and master the subsystems for which they have taken responsibility. As long as a professional and stable state administration is not formed, which can implement policy changes without personnel upheavals, the adaptation problems in the transfer of power will recur. After the elections, lengthy political negotiations followed. As a result, the deadlines for preparing and adopting significant documents and decisions were shortened. In such circumstances, the Government was focused on fulfilling obligations within the set deadlines while acclimatizing new officials, and there was neither time nor capacity for structural changes in policies.     

– What do you think the Government should have done in those 100 days but did not?

Under public pressure, the new ministers in the Government must show initiative. Since they have not yet mastered the processes in their departments during the initial period, they mostly continue the implementation of the previous Government’s policies, with minor corrections in priorities and the dynamics of implementation. The Government’s capacities were focused on preparing the Budget for 2016 and drafting reform documents within the framework of the European Semester. These are technically demanding documents that leave no room for improvisation or for introducing new policies from the programs of the ruling parties. The Government’s reform capacity is narrowed by differences in goals among coalition partners. In the initial period of governance, partners must first align their goals, then analyze the reality of those goals, and only then agree on measures to achieve the agreed goals. Objective difficulties in coalition governments cannot be an excuse for delays in decisions. There was a lack of change in regulations that determine the rights and obligations of local government units, with the aim of abolishing unsustainable municipalities and cities, and reducing the powers of local units that negatively affect the business climate. Additionally, there was a lack of stronger accountability towards interest groups that hinder business operations and limit market functionality. Right at the beginning of its mandate, the Government should have sent a strong message that it is shifting from redistribution issues to issues of competitiveness and strengthening production.

– What do you think it did wrong?

The Government made a small number of decisions, so we do not find the problem in wrong decisions but in the lack of decisions. We expected a faster abolition or reduction of parafiscal levies, a new step in reducing the tax burden on labor, and the first package of concrete economic policy measures aimed at improving the business conditions for entrepreneurs.

– What did it do well?

The Government opened a discussion about the potential damages threatening from arbitration proceedings of entrepreneurs against the state, which are the result of wrong political decisions in the past. If they achieve a consensus among political forces for settlements, it would reduce the financial damage to public finances, while also strengthening the investment climate necessary for accelerating growth and increasing employment.

– What do you expect in the next 100 days?

We expect the presentation of a strategic document with guidelines for public finances in 2017. In that document, we should see programs and measures for permanently reducing budget expenditures. We also expect a timeline for the implementation of structural measures as well as the goals that are sought to be achieved.