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The World Bank Will Financially Assist the Croatian Budget

The World Bank is ready to provide financial and technical assistance in the implementation of Croatia’s economic recovery program, said Peter Harrold, the World Bank Director for Central Europe and the Baltic countries, in an interview with Hina.

"We placed great importance on the economic recovery program when it was announced in April. It is a bold program that outlines the reforms the government wants to implement and addresses issues, creating a framework for Croatia’s sustainable exit from recession," Harrold said in Washington at the IMF and World Bank meeting this weekend. The World Bank is prepared to provide "development financial assistance through the budget, as well as technical and analytical support" for this program, he added. "We told Minister Ĺ uker that we are ready to provide financial support if you are serious about implementing this program because the implementation of reforms has its costs and consequences," Harrold stated. "The focus is entirely on the implementation of the program, I repeat, on the implementation," he added. When asked to assess the fiscal and monetary policy of the Croatian government in the current crisis, Harrold said that "Croatia understands that its fiscal position is not sustainable in the medium term, as the deficit is too high." The World Bank forecasts that the Croatian budget deficit in 2010 could rise to 5.4 percent of gross national product (GDP), and public debt over 52 percent of GDP, which was 45.6 billion euros in 2009.

"The public sector debt is not particularly concerning; what is a much larger figure is the total debt. They are aware of the size of the debt, and what they can do is control the public debt of the government and public enterprises to reduce the deficit, and they do not have many options in this regard," Harrold told Hina. He emphasized that the World Bank has great confidence in what the Croatian National Bank (HNB) is doing, as it "very well monitors the development of the banking system and ensures that banks’ reserves are at an appropriate level and that banks are not overly exposed." When asked about the Croatian government’s unwillingness to enter into a stand-by arrangement with the IMF to help the country exit the crisis more quickly, he replied that this is "a completely sovereign decision of each country" that largely depends on the market, i.e., whether a particular country can access funds in the market at a reasonable price. He pointed out that many countries in the region had no other choice, but many also did not seek IMF assistance, such as Slovenia, "which had an equally difficult situation as Croatia," as well as the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Estonia, Lithuania, and other countries.

"Entering into an arrangement with the IMF is not a guarantee that you will emerge; Romania, which has the largest program with the IMF, is an example," Harrold emphasized. The World Bank predicts a two percent decrease for the Romanian economy, as well as for Croatia, in 2010. When asked whether EU membership will be the final exit for Croatia from the current economic decline, he stated that the EU is not "a solution to all problems" but brings great prospects for Croatia, with funds of over three billion euros, which can only be utilized with full preparedness, i.e., the implementation of reforms. Speaking about the reasons why Croatia is among the few countries in the region still in recession, Harrold noted that due to the predominantly service-oriented nature of the economy, which accounts for about 70 percent of GDP with a major reliance on tourism, Croatia entered the recession more slowly and is recovering more slowly, but he expressed optimism for economic growth in 2011. The World Bank forecasts a growth of the Croatian economy by 1.5 percent in 2011.

Speaking about the importance of fully implementing reforms before entering the EU to utilize funds for new members, Harrold assessed that Croatia cannot afford the luxury of delaying reforms due to the 2011 elections. The question of prosecuting corruption in Croatia was received positively by the World Bank Director for Central Europe and the Baltic, emphasizing that "very sensitive investigations" are underway in Croatia, while in many countries for which he is responsible, "nothing is being done." The World Bank has been exceptionally engaged in providing financial support, technical assistance, political advice, and analytical services to Croatia since its membership in 1993. To date, the World Bank has supported 45 operations in Croatia, worth about three billion dollars, and approved 52 loans totaling around 70 million dollars. Currently, the World Bank is working on 15 projects in Croatia, with a total value of about 1.1 billion dollars. (H)