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Retail Centers in Croatia Await Repositioning

The situation in the real estate market in Croatia is somewhat more optimistic than a year ago, but a greater market momentum and potential new investments are expected only at the end of this year and during the next year, according to the assessment of the leaders of the consulting firm Colliers International Croatia presented at today’s meeting with journalists.

Presenting Colliers’ global research on the real estate market conducted among 244 investors worldwide in February and March of this year, Colliers’ Managing Director Vedrana Likan emphasized that investors, both regionally and globally, believe that all markets will trend upwards in the next 12 months, expecting an increase in demand for leasing and the beginning of rent growth. Something similar can be expected in Croatia, although only in certain market segments, such as a possible new investment cycle in the office space market. This assessment at Colliers is based on a significantly better vacancy rate in Croatia (around 6 percent) compared to the region (for example, 20 percent in Hungary).

Although this year will see a continued decline in office space rents of 5 percent, Colliers does not believe that it will go below the average of 13.5 to 14 euros per square meter for a standard 300 square meter so-called Class A space. The decline in rents will also continue in the retail space market, by about 10 percent this year, with no new investments expected, but rather the completion of several projects started two to three years ago (shopping centers in Zagreb, Varaždin, and Osijek). Commenting on the state of that market, especially the situation around shopping centers, Colliers manager Nenad Peris noted that the interest of international tenants in these spaces has increased multiple times compared to the last few years.

He believes that retail centers in Croatia are facing redefinition and repositioning, and certainly not collapse. In the residential space market, they expect stagnation to continue this year without announcements of larger projects and with price stabilization following last year’s decline. However, they do not expect the sale of unsold apartment inventories, of which there are currently more than 10,000 on the market. Highlighting that Croatia is a healthy investment market for the development of new real estate projects because it is not oversaturated and has room for quality properties, Vedrana Likan assesses that now is the right time for investors to start thinking more seriously about Croatia. Although there are still five problems that make Croatia a non-competitive market for real estate (tax system, administration, corruption, foreign employment law, and many unresolved ownership relations), Likan emphasizes that foreign investors are observing Croatia and believes that the exit from the crisis will bring new investment cycles. (H)