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Jurčić, Vidošević and Čačić propose 10 measures each for exiting the crisis

Dissatisfied with the government’s anti-recession measures, three experts propose alternative steps against the recession with concrete data and measures, published today by Novi list in its supplement Pogled.

‘Late and unclear,’ could summarize the opposition’s reaction to the government’s package of ten anti-recession measures. The main opposition criticism refers to the fact that the government is reacting at least four months too late and that it has not yet said anything about the key measure for establishing economic and financial stability – the budget rebalancing – except that it will propose it soon. There is still no answer to the question of how much the budget will be cut and whose shoulders the most painful cuts will fall on, although it is quite clear, from unofficial announcements by high officials, that this time the salaries of civil servants will definitely be targeted, as published in today’s Novi List, signed by Nataša Božić.

– What the government proposed is not a list of measures, but a list of intentions in whose implementation, taught by experience with this government, I sincerely doubt! The proposed package contains not a single concrete measure, not a single concrete data point, nor a deadline in which something will be done, so I think this is just a government media spin, not a serious anti-recession move – assesses HNS leader Radimir Čačić.

– What the government proposed is not a list of measures, but a list of intentions in whose implementation I sincerely doubt! – assesses HNS leader Radimir Čačić.

The journalist of Novi list thus asked the head of the Peasant Party to specify the ten steps he would take if he were currently in the hot seat of Sanader. The same list of ten alternative measures for exiting the crisis was also received from the main SDP economic expert Ljubo Jurčić, and from the head of the Croatian Chamber of Commerce Nadan Vidošević, who, although a member of HDZ, is often perceived as opposition to the economic policy of the current government.

The measures proposed by the opposition and the head of the Chamber are essentially identical to the government’s, focusing on urgently balancing budget expenditures with a significant drop in revenues that are plummeting due to the crisis, and on assisting the most vulnerable sectors of the economy – tourism and the real estate market. The only difference is that Jurčić and Čačić, in their relatively comfortable opposition position, are allowed to be significantly more open when it comes to the budget cuts that need to be made, since they are not the ones holding the axe that will cut salaries and privileges, as well as promised investments, writes Božić.

Jurčić openly states that all major capital projects should be completely cut, including not only the construction of the Pelješac Bridge but also the further construction of highways and tunnels, while Čačić also openly states that salaries in the public sector should be frozen, and even reduced if necessary.

Thus, Jurčić openly states that all major capital projects should be completely cut, including not only the construction of the Pelješac Bridge but also the further construction of highways and tunnels, while Čačić also openly states that salaries in the public sector should be frozen, and even reduced if necessary. According to opposition estimates, the rebalancing should cut between 7 and 12 billion kuna on the expenditure side of the budget and direct all available resources to preserve liquidity, as well as targeted investments in tourism and production.

The state must take its share of responsibility for the growing illiquidity and repair the damage as quickly as possible. In this sense, the government’s measure to shorten payment deadlines to 60 days is absolutely welcome, but where are the guarantees that public companies and the state will adhere to that deadline, Čačić wonders. He therefore proposes that an obligation be introduced to issue promissory notes for all goods and services that the state and public enterprises procure in amounts greater than one hundred thousand kuna. This would give creditors the right to collect what the state owes them in the business bank with which the state operates after the expiration of that deadline.

Protection of domestic producers from imports is proposed by all three interlocutors of Novi list and they believe that the government should come out as soon as possible not only with a slogan but also with clear technical measures to prevent imports, primarily of low-quality foreign food.

– That is at least simple, it should be prescribed that frozen meat older than one month or tomatoes older than one week cannot enter Croatia – explains Čačić.

– That is at least simple, it should be prescribed that frozen meat older than one month or tomatoes older than one week cannot enter Croatia – explains Čačić, while Jurčić emphasizes that it is necessary to foresee ‘a precise percentage and deadline for reducing imports’, Božić notes.

– By 2010, we must reduce imports by at least 10 percent and replace them with higher quality and cheaper domestic products, believes Jurčić.

The government’s measures are very similar to what the opposition would propose if they were in power and what entrepreneurs have called for in the measures presented by the Croatian Chamber of Commerce. It is clear to everyone what needs to be done; they only differ in the assessment of whether the government will have the strength and ability to implement these difficult and unpopular cuts.

– I congratulate the government on the measures, this is what we all hoped for, but now it is time for operationalization. The rebalancing that will be proposed will be the first test and indicator of which direction we are going, concludes Vidošević in today’s Pogled, a supplement of Novi lista.

Alternative anti-recession measures

10 measures of Radimir Čačić

10 measures of Nadan Vidošević

10 measures of Ljubo Jurčić

  1. Cut budget expenditures by at least 10 percent, between 11 and 12 billion kuna
  2. Introduce an obligation for public companies and the state to issue promissory notes for every procurement amount greater than 100,000 kuna, so that creditors have a guarantee that they will be able to collect debts after the expiration of the 60-day deadline
  3. Within 30 days, by law or regulation, reduce the burden on the economy by four percent by reducing contributions or other parafiscal levies
  4. Provide 400 million euros more for HBOR, but as an addition to last year’s amount of four billion
  5. The state should take on 20 percent of guarantees for the repayment of apartments for citizens buying their first property
  6. Set such conditions for imports that would reduce the import of low-quality food and agricultural products by 35 percent within 90 days
  7. Completely freeze the budget for salaries and limit salary growth in the public sector to the level of economic growth, reduce the number of employees
  8. The government should commit to reinvesting dividends in companies where it is a co-owner and request the same from strategic partners
  9. Ensure at least 500 million for retraining and assistance to those who lose their jobs
  10. Strong investment in the most important tourism destinations, such as Brijuni, Duilovo, Kupari, Prevlaka
  1. Reduce the expenditure side of the budget by 10 percent and transfer the funds to HBOR for support of exports, investments, and preservation of employment
  2. Reduce the expenditure side of the budget of local communities by a percentage and transfer the funds to development agencies at the local level
  3. Stop the state’s borrowing on the domestic market; finance the state by borrowing from the central bank
  4. Destimulate the outflow of capital from the country
  5. The government and HNB should negotiate with domestic banks the policy and conditions for lending to the economy as well as the restructuring of loans for entrepreneurs
  6. Maximally reduce contributions that burden the economy from the environmental protection item
  7. The state must not be a generator of illiquidity; it should accelerate cash flows and ensure the collection of receivables within a period not exceeding 90 days
  8. Destimulate imports by introducing targeted permissible measures (quality control, standards, inspection controls)
  9. Introduce excise duties on products that are not socially sensitive and directly direct the funds to HBOR
  10. Stop large capital projects.
  1. Due to a 2 percent drop in production, revenues will be lower by 4.5 billion, and further reductions will occur due to a drop in imports and retail sales. In total: a reduction of about seven billion kuna with which expenditures must be aligned.
  2. Ensure stability of the exchange rate, interest rates, and liquidity. Due to the high indebtedness of citizens, the economy, and the state and due to foreign currency clauses, any increase in the exchange rate or interest rates worsens everyone’s economic situation.
  3. Preserve jobs, salaries, unemployment benefits due to the recession, facilitate the repayment of housing loans
  4. Bring investments below domestic savings and accumulation, otherwise, we will continue to borrow directly abroad.
  5. Stop investments in monuments, unproductive and long payback period investments, and those significantly dependent on imports
  6. Encourage investments with short payback periods and for exports
  7. Relieve the economy of tax and non-tax levies
  8. Provide support based on estimates of increased production and exports. It is essential to increase production, not just nominal support for small and medium-sized enterprises
  9. Replace at least 10 percent of imports by the end of 2010 with higher quality and cheaper domestic products.
  10. The state must establish professional institutions for monitoring the situation, proposing, and implementing anti-recession measures.