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Is the U.S. Government Forced to Nationalize Major Banks?

On Wall Street, leading indices fell sharply on Friday, with the Dow Jones index diving to its lowest level in 6 and a half years, as investors fear that the U.S. government will be forced to nationalize several major banks.

The Dow Jones index plummeted by 100 points or 1.34 percent, to 7,365 points, reaching levels from October 2002, which represented the bottom of the then ‘bear market’. The S&P 500 index fell by 1.14 percent, to 770 points, and during trading, it threatened to drop to its lowest levels in the last 12 years. The Nasdaq index lost 0.11 percent, dipping to 1,441 points. The day after the Dow Jones index fell below the level of November 20 of last year, which investors considered the bottom of the current ‘bear market’, the decline in stock prices continued, due to investors’ fears that the government would nationalize banks in an effort to clean them of bad debts. However, this would also mean the ousting of shareholders.

Yesterday, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, Christopher Dodd, stated that it might be necessary to nationalize some banks, at least in the short term. This further unsettled investors, prompting a response from the government. “The government still firmly believes in a privately owned banking system, with the assurance that this system is sufficiently regulated by the government,” said White House spokesman Robert Gibbs at a press conference. This somewhat calmed investors, but not entirely, as Gibbs did not want to definitively answer a journalist’s question about whether this means the government will never nationalize banks. Before Gibbs’ statements, the stock prices of Citigroup and Bank of America were down more than 35 percent, ending with Citigroup down 22 percent and BofA down 3.6 percent. Meanwhile, the price of Citigroup fell below $2 for the first time since 1991.

However, it was not just the banking sector under pressure. Due to falling oil prices, shares of oil companies also decreased. Notably, the stock prices of aviation giant Boeing and technology company Research in Motion also fell significantly. “More than anything, even more than the crisis in the real estate and mortgage markets, the current concern is the crisis of confidence. This is the biggest problem in efforts to analyze the market situation. Because you cannot analyze psychology. The market has been built on hope in recent months, and now investors are losing that. Many believed that Washington would pull us out of the mud. However, I don’t know if Washington can do anything more,” explains Todd Salamone, vice president of Schaeffer’s Investment Research. Throughout the past week, the Dow Jones index fell by 6.2 percent, the S&P 500 index by 6.9 percent, and the Nasdaq index by 6.1 percent. European stock markets also saw sharp declines on Friday. The London FTSE index fell by 3.22 percent, to 3,889 points, while the DAX index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange lost 4.76 percent, dipping to 4,014 points. (H)