Home / Media and Publications / Rohatinski: Everyone Loses with Depreciation

Rohatinski: Everyone Loses with Depreciation

The CEO of Zagrebačka banka, Franjo Luković, announced an inevitable increase in interest rates in an interview with Novi list and made a series of sharp assessments regarding monetary and state policy. Unexpectedly, however, Luković’s question about whether the price paid to maintain the exchange rate of the kuna is appropriate was raised. This is the most open call from a banker to the central bank to ease restrictions and weaken the kuna so far.

It is not the same to defend the exchange rate in conditions where there is a greater supply of foreign currency than demand, što was the case until mid-last year when it was easier, and today, when the question is whether it is defendable or indefensible, said Luković, adding that a change in the exchange rate of up to ten percent would not be overly concerning for banks. The governor of the central bank, Željko Rohatinski, reacted sharply to this statement, saying that he cannot understand why a business banker would go public with such statements and create a psychology that could cause withdrawals of deposits from their own bank and the entire banking system. This is not professional behavior, especially if it comes from the CEO of the strongest bank in Croatia, Rohatinski said in an interview with Večernji list, adding that regardless of all domestic and foreign activities, Luković’s thesis that the stability of the exchange rate is indefensible does not hold.

I believe we have enough maneuvering space to defend it together. If it turns out that only the central bank has to do it, we will have to decide on stricter measures than before, said the governor. He acknowledged that this year there are increasing pressures on the exchange rate, but with depreciation, everyone loses, so it would be logical for everyone in their area to contribute to maintaining its stability. It is in the interest of banks to maintain the stability of the exchange rate. We will continue to try to ease monetary conditions if necessary, but that also means that commercial banks must take the risk upon themselves. Depreciation would increase loan repayments, and thus the risk that loans would not be repaid, the governor said in the conversation. What concerns Luković are not risky loans.

He claims that an unchanged exchange rate will not help reduce imports and will hinder the tourist season because guests from countries where the currency has weakened will come to Croatia in smaller numbers. Therefore, he states that it is better to ensure that the change in the exchange rate is timely and lower than later – uncontrolled and higher. (HRT)