If they want to emerge from the crisis, companies must start acting – now! Only then will they be able to seize opportunities for expansion
Written by: Dr. Vladimir Preveden, Executive Partner of the Zagreb Office of Roland Berger Strategy Consultants
www.rolandberger.hr
Successful companies are currently initiating significant changes during this crisis. Organize your company and restructure it to navigate the crisis and prepare for the next phase of growth.
The economy is weakening, in some countries more than in others. It is evident that companies, consumers, and governments everywhere are concerned. Just a few days ago, Željko Rohatinski, the Governor of the Croatian National Bank (HNB), speaking at a round table of Croatian exporters, estimated that economic growth in Croatia would slow to 2% in 2009. Other forecasts from the European Union indicate that the European economic downturn is expected to last two years. Even moderate scenarios do not predict that the economy will recover by 2011. While optimists believe that the worst will pass in about a year, the worst-case scenario predicts that such a state could drag on for up to five years.
Regardless of which scenario materializes, companies must prepare for a period of weaker demand and turbulent markets. Well-managed companies are aware of this fact. Although their own early warning indicators have not yet turned red, everyone – from the media to their employees – is talking about the crisis. These companies, therefore, undoubtedly know that now is the time to take proactive steps to steer and lead the company through the crisis and emerge stronger than before.
As the economy falters, where are Croatian companies? Our recent study Increase Efficiency 2008 provides answers from Croatian managers regarding their behavior concerning restructuring and reveals some alarming facts:
• While each of the surveyed Western European companies began restructuring within a year after recognizing the signs of crisis, only 20% of Croatian companies reacted in the same period. 50% of Croatian companies waited two years before taking any steps.
• While restructurings last on average longer than 18 months in Western Europe, most Croatian companies dedicate less time – and likely less effort – to this important task.
• Only 15% of Croatian companies regularly plan their liquidity – the lowest percentage of any country in the CEE region (for comparison, this percentage in the Czech Republic is 67% of companies). Croatian companies can therefore be severely affected even if the crisis is mild.
In light of these disturbing facts, it is high time for Croatian companies to take certain measures before the expected economic downturn becomes a reality. What must they do?
As always, it is important to see the whole problem – to see the ‘big picture’. Patchwork fixes here and there will not yield the desired results: the survival and recovery of the company. From our perspective, every response to the ‘big picture’ must contain all ten steps outlined in a special framework.
Compared to the international level, Croatian companies are significantly lagging in terms of size. If they want to emerge from the current crisis stronger and healthier than before, they must start acting – now! The reward will be truly great: Companies that courageously restructure now can seize unlimited opportunities for expansion that Southeast Europe and regions further east offer today and in the near future. Isn’t that incentive enough for any well-managed company?
From crisis to ten steps
1. Be proactive and think ahead
Crisis always separates the wheat from the chaff, good companies from not-so-good ones. The former are those that adopt a proactive attitude, that take the initiative. Do not just wait and watch what happens to your market, your revenues, and profits. Take the initiative and proactively take necessary measures! This is a crucial way to separate your company from rivals. Demonstrate your leadership qualities and do not hesitate to take appropriate actions. Also, start on time. Restructuring programs usually take two to three years to achieve all desired results (although quick gains can be realized much faster).
2. Retain your customers
In times of crisis, customers remain loyal to those companies they trust, those companies that treat them specially. Therefore, the first element in any restructuring is to take good care of your customers. Work diligently to convey a message of reliability and trust to your customers. Justify their trust in your products – and especially in your services – by proving yourself wherever possible. Successful companies make good use of the crisis by intensifying their service activities and fostering closer communication with customers. The goal is, of course, to encourage customers to be more loyal to you than to your competitors. Use all available means to defend your domestic market. This could include value-added services, being more lenient with payment terms, or giving reward bonuses to key customers. But do keep in mind that such benefits should be limited exclusively to key customers. A ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach generally misses its market, dilutes the impact of your activities, and thus harms your profit margin as the market stagnates.