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Wall Street in Fear Despite AIG Rescue

Futures indices on Wall Street indicate that at the start of today’s trading, stock prices could fall as the rescue of AIG has not alleviated all investor fears regarding the financial sector.

The Dow Jones futures index is currently down 31, and the Nasdaq index is down 11.75 points. The S&P futures index is down 6.5 points, but is above fair value, a mathematical formula that determines prices taking into account interest rates, dividends, and the expiration date of the futures contract. U.S. authorities decided last night to approve an emergency loan of $85 billion to American International Group to save the world’s largest bond insurer from bankruptcy. However, no one is sure that this is enough, and investors continue to wonder which bank will face escalating problems next.

"The market is practically in the same situation as before the AIG rescue. I expect a nervous trading day today as everyone is wondering who the next victim will be, how the problem will be resolved, and whether a domino effect will follow," says Peter Cardillo, an economist at Avalon Partners. Ahead of the opening of Wall Street, the price of AIG shares fell 20 percent, as the takeover of about 80 percent of AIG’s shares by U.S. authorities, which is part of last night’s loan arrangement, means the dilution of other shareholders.

On the other hand, the price of Morgan Stanley shares rose about 5 percent, as the investment bank reported a smaller decline in profits than expected in the last quarter. Meanwhile, on European exchanges, the price of HBOS shares, the largest British mortgage bank, fell sharply this morning due to rumors that the bank is in serious trouble. However, after news that Lloyd’s TSB is interested in acquiring the bank, the price of HBOS stabilized. Thanks to this, leading indices on European exchanges are currently in the positive. The London FTSE and Frankfurt DAX indices are up about 0.4, while the Paris CAC index is up about 0.8 percent. (H)