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Moody’s Changes Outlook for Agrokor’s Future Rating

Moody’s, the credit rating agency, announced on Thursday that it has changed the outlook for the Croatian conglomerate Agrokor’s future rating from ‘positive’ to ‘stable’, which means that, unlike the period before the change, they no longer expect an imminent upgrade in the rating.

The change in outlook is a result of «limited satisfaction» with Agrokor’s liquidity in light of the lack of maneuvering space due to financial obligations arising from issued bonds and received loans, they state at Moody’s. The agency acknowledges the strong growth of Agrokor’s financial indicators in the first half of this year, the consolidation of the company as a regional market leader, and the successful turnaround of recent acquisitions, as well as significant growth opportunities for the company in the Southeast European region što, according to Moody’s, could lead to a higher rating.

However, they also note that the improvement in Agrokor’s financial situation, on which the earlier ‘positive’ outlook was based, has not materialized as expected, primarily due to a higher level of debt and weaker cash flow that would accompany strong growth. Therefore, the lack of maneuvering space for Agrokor due to current obligations, and the risk that the company could breach some of the commitments it has made, currently prevent a «positive rating development».

At the end of June this year, Agrokor recorded a total net debt of approximately 4.2 billion kuna (about 575 million euros), and in the 12 months leading up to the end of June, it achieved earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of around 1.1 billion kuna (150 million euros) with consolidated revenue of 16.8 billion kuna. Moody’s reminds that when issuing bonds worth 150 million euros and taking a loan of 325 million euros, Agrokor committed to keeping certain financial indicators within agreed ranges.

Analysts at the agency believe that Agrokor has several ways to remain within those ranges, such as recapitalization, temporarily slowing down investments, and/or negotiating new ranges for the mentioned financial indicators. If Agrokor increases its maneuvering space to meet current conditions while simultaneously consolidating its latest results, Moody’s could restore positive outlooks for future rating changes or even upgrade the rating to B1 from the current B2, concludes the statement from Moody’s. (Bankamagazin)